Risk Analysis at a Societal Level - Method and Process for Producing ‘Analyses of Crisis Scenarios (ACS)’

In February 2019, the Norwegian Directorate for Civil Protection (DSB) published a new edition of Analyses of Crisis Scenarios (ACS) (previously called the National Risk Assessment) containing a compilation of 25 different risk analyses of serious adverse events that could strike Norway. This methodology document describes the method and process behind the work on ACS 2019. The hope is that it will facilitate transparency and verifiability of the assessments and results, as well as describe a method for risk analyses that, after the necessary adaptations, can also be used in other contexts.